Elio Opening Box Office Tracking Below Lightyear.

Pixar’s next film, “Elio,” is set to open on June 20, only a week after “How to Train Your Dragon,” and the box office predictions aren’t all that great.

The most recent prediction for the box office opening is ranging from $35 million to $45 million, and long-term projections have the film at around $300 million.

To put this into perspective, “Onward” opened to $39.1 million and “Lightyear” opened to about $50.5 million. “Lightyear” was a box office bomb.

Other films in this opening range include “Elemental” at $29.6 million, “The Good Dinosaur” at $39.1 million (which would be about $53 million adjusted for inflation), and “Toy Story,” which opened to $29.1 million (about $63 million adjusted for inflation.)

“Coco” and “Cars 3” opened to between $50.8 million-$53 million in 2017.

If the film does hit the $35-$45 million range, it places “Elio” towards the bottom for Pixar debuts.

This isn’t good, given the estimated budget for the film ranges between $ 200 and almost $300 million.

World of Reel reported a budget “tipped toward $300 million” on May 12, 2025.

We do know that there were major changes made to the film, and a lot of the creative team was replaced. Zoe Saldaña also replaced America Ferrera as the female “mother” figure in the film.

Early teasers released showed a film that seems different from what we are getting. This is likely how a budget could balloon to $300 million.

I’m not sure how well this one will do. I have seen comments that many people didn’t even realize “Elio” was coming out until recent trailers ahead of “Lilo and Stitch.”

I wouldn’t want to go up against “How To Train Your Dragon.”

Time will tell how Pixar’s latest film will perform.

What do you think? Comment and let us know!