Tomorrow, “Snow White” will move to previews, and already the headlines have gone from saying the box office estimates are dropping to saying it will be a $100 million debut. However, it isn’t as it appears, and that $100 million total is for a global box office debut.
What are the domestic and global box office predictions for this film?
The estimates for the film dropped from $65 – $85 million several weeks ago to $53 million at the end of February, and now they are sitting at $45 – $50 million right before the film releases to theaters. The lower range puts it just above the 2019 film “Dumbo” for its opening ($45.9 million domestic.)
Current estimates make it the lowest Disney Princess live-action film to debut.
“Snow White” will be released to 4,200 domestic theaters, which is a large number. That many theaters make the low estimates seem even worse.
Internationally, the film is estimated to bring in about $50 million from all the markets it will release to. Again, not great.
How bad would a $100 million opening be?
If it comes in at the estimated $100 million, that is below their biggest flop in recent years, “The Marvels,” which did $110.3 million globally.
“The Marvels” had a much smaller budget of only $200 million compared to estimates of $260-$270+ million for “Snow White.”
It would beat “Elemental,” which had a global opening weekend of $74 million. However, that film went on to earn over $425 million globally and did make some money.
If the film is good and receives good word-of-mouth, it could slowly grow like “Elemental” did. However, it is estimated that “Snow White” needs to bring in about $675 million to break even.
The review embargo ends today at 3PM so we may get a better idea of what the critics think. Usually, people ignore those reviews and wait to hear from friends and family before spending money on a film they can watch on Disney+ in a few months anyway.
What do you think? Comment and let us know!
Pirates & Princesses (TM) (Stylized as PNP) is an independent, opinionated News and Information site focused on Travel, Entertainment, Fashion, the “Geek Girl” Lifestyle, and more. We focus heavily on Walt Disney World, Disneyland, Universal Orlando Resort, and other themed entertainment and travel destinations. Our news staff includes former theme park and entertainment industry employees, journalists and dedicated pop culture and theme park enthusiasts. Opinions expressed by contributors do not necessarily reflect the views of this site, our affiliates or our sponsors.